How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21? is a weather prediction market asking traders to forecast the total number of earthquakes worldwide with magnitude 6.5 or higher during the June 15, 2026 through June 21, 2026 window. The event resolves using data from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with special rules if a qualifying quake is reported late or requires magnitude revisions after the final day. As an earthquake event in the Weather category, it focuses on a measurable natural disaster outcome rather than a broad sentiment call. Current market probability is about 45%, suggesting a fairly balanced forecast and moderate market sentiment around whether at least one major quake will occur in the period. The prediction market will remain open through June 21 at 11:59 PM ET, and resolution may be delayed briefly to confirm final USGS data. For event prediction and search indexing, this listing centers on earthquake frequency, USGS resolution timing, and the expected outcome for the June 15–June 21 timeframe.