Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? is a political prediction market on whether both chambers of Congress will approve the same bill, measure, or resolution limiting U.S. military action in the recent U.S./Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. For this market to resolve Yes, the House of Representatives and Senate must finally pass identical legislation that explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other operations against Iran or proxy forces. Non-binding statements or broad resolutions that do not limit military action do not count.

This event matters because it tests congressional willingness to constrain executive war powers during a sensitive geopolitical confrontation involving the United States, Israel, and Iran. Market sentiment currently implies a low expected outcome, with the probability near 3.15%, suggesting traders see passage as unlikely before the deadline. Resolution will rely on official congressional voting records and credible reporting, making it a closely watched political forecast for Congress, Iran policy, and U.S. foreign affairs.