Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30? is a technology prediction market focused on whether an Anthropic Claude model will appear on the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard with a score at or above the specified threshold by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The event centers on Anthropic’s Claude 5 models and their performance on a benchmark used to compare advanced AI systems. In plain terms, traders are forecasting the expected outcome of whether Claude will reach the required score before the deadline, as verified by the Scale-hosted leaderboard. The market matters because benchmark results can influence market sentiment around AI capability, competitive positioning among big tech and AI developers, and broader expectations for model progress. The current market probability is shown at 100%, though prediction market odds can still reflect how traders interpret the resolution criteria and timing. As a tech forecast with a fixed end date, the event prediction is ultimately determined by the official leaderboard listing on or before the June 30 cutoff.