Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30? is a technology prediction market asking whether any Anthropic Claude model will reach the listed score or higher on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmarking leaderboard by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The forecast is tied specifically to Tier 1-3 results on the official Frontier Math leaderboard, with the market resolving “Yes” only if the benchmark score appears there; other studies or unofficial reports will not count. This makes the event a focused test of Claude’s math and reasoning performance, and a useful signal for market sentiment around AI model progress from Anthropic in the broader Big Tech and AI categories. Traders are effectively pricing the expected outcome based on the probability of Claude meeting the threshold before the deadline. Current market probability is shown at 100%, indicating very strong confidence, though that remains a market estimate rather than a guarantee. The event is active and runs through the June 30, 2026 expiration date.