AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? asks whether a state-of-the-art AI model will achieve a score of 90% or higher on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This technology prediction market centers on frontier AI performance, with the outcome determined primarily by EpochAI or, if needed, a consensus of credible reporting. FrontierMath is a difficult benchmark designed to test advanced mathematical reasoning, so a qualifying result would be a notable signal for the AI industry, big tech, and broader machine learning progress. The market is currently pricing this event at about 81.5% probability, suggesting traders expect the threshold to be reached before the deadline, though the forecast is not certain. Because the resolution depends on a specific benchmark score and a clear end date, it is a clean event prediction for tracking market sentiment around AI capability gains through 2026.