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Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…? is a technology prediction market tracking whether Anthropic will make Claude 5 available to the general public by December 31, 2025...

Active market Resolves Apr 30, 2026 Trending higher
Claude 5 released by…?
24h Volume
$29.1K
7d Volume
$635.8K
Liquidity
$48.6K
Open Interest
$364K
Trend Score
215K

Forecast Overview

Claude 5 released by…? is a technology prediction market tracking whether Anthropic will make Claude 5 available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to Yes only if Anthropic publicly launches a product explicitly named Claude 5, or a clearly recognized successor to Claude 4, with broad public access such as an open beta or open rolling waitlist. Private or closed beta access does not qualify. For this event prediction, traders are forecasting the timing and scope of Anthropic’s next major AI model release, which matters because Claude is a prominent competitor in the AI and large language model sector. The current market probability is 0%, indicating no priced-in expectation of a qualifying release at the moment, though prediction market sentiment can change quickly as new product announcements or credible reporting emerge. The market began on August 7, 2025 and is scheduled to run through April 30, 2026, with official Anthropic disclosures serving as the primary resolution source.

Market Access

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Timeline

Market opened

Aug 7, 2025, 11:45 PM

Last synced

May 30, 2026, 1:36 PM

Resolution target

Apr 30, 2026, 3:00 AM

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