Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...? is a political prediction market focused on whether Abbas Araghchi will cease serving as I...

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...? is a political prediction market focused on whether Abbas Araghchi will cease serving as I...

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...? is a political prediction market focused on whether Abbas Araghchi will cease serving as Iran’s foreign minister before the market closes on June 30, 2026 ET. The contract resolves to “Yes” if he resigns, is removed, detained, or otherwise stopped from performing the duties of the office for any period within the specified timeframe. It can also resolve early if an official resignation or removal is announced before the end date, even if the change takes effect later. As a geopolitics event tied to Iran and U.S. x Iran dynamics, the market is tracking questions about government stability, leadership continuity, and possible diplomatic shifts. Current market probability is shown at 0%, indicating traders currently assign no measured chance to a near-term exit, though prediction market sentiment can change quickly with official statements or credible reporting. Resolution will rely on official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran, with consensus media coverage also considered when necessary. This event prediction is relevant for anyone following Iranian politics, cabinet turnover, and geopolitical risk.
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Market opened
Mar 27, 2026, 8:58 PM
Last synced
Jun 16, 2026, 1:02 PM
Resolution target
Jun 30, 2026, 3:00 AM
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