Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? is an election prediction market asking whether Turkish authorities will officially announce presidential elections to be held before the currently scheduled 2028 vote. The market resolves to Yes only if a formal public decision is made by the Turkish government, the Presidency of Turkey, the Grand National Assembly, or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Informal discussion, political pressure, or media speculation would not be enough. This event matters because an early election could signal a major shift in Turkey’s political calendar and in the broader contest around Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the country’s leadership. Current market probability is about 16%, suggesting traders see early presidential elections as possible but not the base case. As a prediction market and election forecast, the event reflects market sentiment on whether official action will be taken in 2026. The resolution will depend primarily on official Turkish sources, with credible reporting used only if needed.