Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Will Trump be impeached by June 30? is an election prediction market tied to whether the US House of Representatives will approve one or more articles of impeachment against President Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. For this market, “Yes” means the House passes impeachment articles by simple majority vote; a Senate trial, conviction, or removal from office is not required. If that happens before the deadline, the market resolves accordingly using federal government sources, with credible reporting as a fallback.

The event matters because impeachment is a major congressional and political outcome that can reshape US politics and public debate. Traders in this prediction market are forecasting the expected outcome based on current market sentiment, legislative dynamics, and broader election-related developments. As of the latest pricing, the market implies about a 60% probability of impeachment by the deadline, suggesting slightly stronger odds for “Yes” than “No.”

This election forecast is active through the June 30 cutoff and remains relevant for readers tracking Trump, Congress, Senate-related political markets, and impeachment odds.