Will gas hit __ by end of May?

Will gas hit __ by end of May? is a finance prediction market focused on whether the average US regular gasoline price, as reported by AAA, will reach or exceed a listed threshold by May 31, 2026. The event resolves to Yes if the AAA “Current Avg” under “Regular” meets the target on any day between market creation and the deadline; otherwise it resolves to No. Only the first two decimal places of the reported price count, which makes the resolution rule precise and data-driven.

This forecast matters because gasoline prices are a closely watched signal for inflation, consumer costs, and broader energy-market conditions. Traders in this oil and commodities market are effectively pricing in the expected outcome for US gas prices over the remaining window. The current market probability is about 45%, suggesting a fairly balanced view of whether gas will hit the threshold before the end of May. With the start date on April 30, 2026 and the market ending May 31, 2026, sentiment will likely continue to shift with AAA price updates and changes in crude oil, supply, and demand.