Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? is a crypto prediction market asking whether the government of the People’s Republic of China will explicitly announce that Chinese citizens may legally buy Bitcoin with yuan from inside China by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The event matters because China has long been one of the most influential jurisdictions in global crypto policy, and any change in its stance could affect market sentiment, trading expectations, and broader Bitcoin adoption narratives. Under the market rules, the forecast resolves to Yes if the PRC makes that announcement, even if implementation never follows; official PRC statements are the primary resolution source, with credible reporting also considered. The market is active from November 5, 2025 through the end-of-2026 deadline, making the timing central to the event prediction. Current market probability is about 3.45%, indicating traders assign a low chance to a near-term policy reversal. For prediction market participants tracking China, Bitcoin, politics, and geopolitics, this listing reflects the expected outcome around one of the most closely watched crypto policy questions.