Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year? is a culture prediction market in the Music category forecasting whether any listed artist will reach No. 1 on the official Billboard Hot 100 during 2026. The event resolves “Yes” if a song by a listed primary artist tops any weekly Billboard Hot 100 chart published for a reference period entirely within January 1 through December 31, 2026. Billboard’s weekly charts, which update on Tuesdays, are the resolution source, and the market’s timeframe runs from January 9, 2026 through December 31, 2026. Jointly credited primary artists count, while features and other non-primary credits do not.

This event matters because the Hot 100 is one of the most closely watched measures of mainstream music performance, making it a useful forecast for pop culture momentum, artist breakout potential, and broader market sentiment. Prediction market traders are currently pricing the chance of this expected outcome at about 13.5%, suggesting relatively low odds that one of the listed artists will claim a Billboard #1 song before year-end. As with any event prediction, that probability can change as releases, chart performance, and Billboard updates evolve over the course of the year.