What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? is a finance prediction market asking traders to forecast the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 FOMC meeting. The market resolves using official Federal Reserve information, with the key decision expected from the Federal Open Market Committee’s December 8-9, 2026 meeting. If no December decision is released by December 31, 2026, the market will use the rate in effect at that time. Resolution rounds the upper bound to the nearest 25 basis points, following the market’s stated rules.

This event matters because the fed rate is a central indicator for U.S. monetary policy, inflation expectations, borrowing costs, and broader economic conditions. It also reflects market sentiment around the policy path set by Jerome Powell and the Fed, making it relevant to Fed Rates, Economic Policy, and political headlines involving the central bank. Current market probability is around 11.3%, indicating relatively low odds for the specific outcome currently favored by traders. As a long-dated forecast, the event captures changing event prediction odds as new economic data and FOMC signals emerge.