Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…? is a prediction market on whether two SpaceX Starship-class vehicles will successfully perform a docking maneuver in stable Earth orbit before the market deadline of 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028. The event resolves to Yes only if the two free-flying spacecraft physically join in orbit, match velocity, connect via mating hardware, and remain attached for at least 60 continuous seconds. Any docking attempt involving a capsule or payload launched on another vehicle does not qualify under the market rules.

This forecast matters because orbital docking is a key capability for SpaceX’s broader spaceflight plans, including potential tanker, depot, and lunar mission operations. Market sentiment currently places the event probability at 53%, suggesting traders see roughly even odds that SpaceX will achieve the milestone within the listed timeframe. The resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting, making this a classic event prediction tied to real-world SpaceX and Starship development progress.