Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...? is a prediction market in the Elections category tracking whether Rodrigo Paz ceases to serve as president of Bolivia before the market closes on 11:59 PM ET on July 1, 2026. The event resolves to Yes if Paz resigns, is removed, detained, or otherwise permanently prevented from carrying out the duties of the office during the market window; an official announcement of resignation or removal before the deadline can also trigger an immediate Yes resolution. If none of those outcomes occur by the end date, the market resolves to No.

This election forecast matters because it reflects political stability in Bolivia and trader sentiment around the durability of Paz’s presidency. The current market probability is about 11%, suggesting traders see a relatively low chance of him leaving office before the deadline, though prediction market odds can change as new official statements or credible reporting emerges. Tags such as Bolivia, Politics, MAS, and Movimiento al Socialismo reinforce the event’s focus on Bolivian political developments and election-related event prediction.