OpenAI files IPO by...?

OpenAI files IPO by...? is a finance prediction market asking whether OpenAI will file a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed deadline. The forecast focuses on a specific regulatory milestone for a potential OpenAI IPO, not on whether the company will ultimately go public. To resolve “Yes,” the filing must be publicly available on the SEC’s EDGAR database or be a confidential submission explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or supported by a consensus of credible reporting, and that confirmation must occur by 11:59 PM ET on June 6, 2026. After that deadline, later confirmations do not count. Current market probability is 0%, suggesting traders are not pricing in a filing within the timeframe. As an AI and Big Tech event prediction, this market reflects sentiment around OpenAI, Sam Altman, and the broader IPO and finance landscape.