of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026? is a technology prediction market forecasting how many calendar days in May 2026 OpenAI’s ChatGPT will have at least one incident classified as a “Partial/Full Outage.” The market resolves only for incidents that list ChatGPT under affected components and are marked resolved during the month, with OpenAI’s status page on status.openai.com as the primary source. Outages affecting APIs or Sora alone do not count toward the tally. This event matters because it tracks ChatGPT reliability, a key issue for users, developers, and AI platform monitoring. The forecasted outcome is the total number of qualifying outage days, not the number of incidents. The market runs through May 31, 2026, with resolution expected after the period ends once all relevant data is available. Current market probability is 91.5%, suggesting traders broadly expect at least one qualifying outage day, though the final result will depend on resolved incident classifications. As a prediction market, it reflects market sentiment on ChatGPT uptime, OpenAI operational stability, and the likelihood of visible service disruptions during the month.
