Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? is a prediction market in the Elections / Politics category that forecasts whether Cuba’s president will cease holding office at any point between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to Yes if Díaz-Canel resigns, is removed, or otherwise stops serving as president during that window; it also resolves to Yes if an official resignation or removal is announced before the deadline, even if the change takes effect later. Otherwise, the expected outcome is No.

This event matters because it tracks political stability and leadership succession in Cuba, with broader relevance for geopolitics and regional analysis. Traders are watching government signals and credible reporting to assess the forecast. Current market probability is about 15%, suggesting sentiment leans toward Díaz-Canel remaining in office through the end date, though prediction market odds can change quickly as new information emerges. The resolution source is the government of Cuba, with consensus credible reporting also acceptable.