Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?

Measles cases in U.S. by June 30? is a prediction market event tracking whether confirmed measles (rubeola) cases in the United States will reach the threshold required for a "Yes" resolution by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market is tied to the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter and resolves based on the agency’s 2026 "Total Cases" figure, making the CDC the key reference point for settlement. If that source becomes unavailable, another credible source may be used.

This event matters because measles case counts can signal broader public health conditions, vaccination coverage, and outbreak risk. Traders are forecasting the expected outcome using CDC data rather than state-level reports, which gives the market a specific and verifiable resolution standard.

Current market probability is 3.45%, suggesting sentiment currently leans heavily toward a "No" outcome. As the June 30 deadline approaches, the odds may shift with new case reports and changing market expectations. For search and event prediction use, this listing is relevant to prediction market, measles, CDC, pandemics, and U.S. public health tracking.