May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) is a weather prediction market tied to the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026, with resolution based on the value NASA reports in its global temperature table. Traders are forecasting the expected outcome for the month’s temperature anomaly in Celsius, using the published May 2026 figure as the official reference. The market matters because it tracks how unusually warm the planet was during that period and reflects broader market sentiment around global climate conditions. According to the current probability, the market is pricing in about a 14% chance for the listed outcome bracket, though that probability can change as new information arrives. The event opened on April 27, 2026 and is scheduled to close on June 10, 2026, with resolution expected once NASA releases the relevant data. If the May 2026 figure is not available by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market rules specify that it will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This event combines climate data, science, and prediction market odds in a single forecast of the May 2026 temperature increase.