Lowest temperature in NYC on June 16?

“Lowest temperature in NYC on June 16?” is a weather prediction market focused on the coldest recorded temperature at LaGuardia Airport Station in New York City on June 16, 2026. The market will resolve to the temperature range containing the lowest Fahrenheit reading reported by Wunderground for that date, using whole-degree precision. In practical terms, traders are forecasting the expected outcome for NYC’s overnight or early-morning low, rather than the daytime high.

This event matters because short-term weather markets often reflect shifting market sentiment around local conditions, seasonal patterns, and the reliability of the underlying forecast. The current market probability is about 15%, suggesting traders see a relatively low chance of the lowest-temperature outcome landing in the represented range, though odds can change as new weather data arrives. The market opens on June 15 and is scheduled to conclude on June 16 at 12:00 UTC, after the first datapoint for the following day is published on the resolution source.

As a recurring New York City weather forecast event, it is relevant to prediction market participants tracking daily temperature outcomes and event prediction dynamics.