Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner is a prediction market on which political party will win the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. Parliamentary elections in Lebanon are expected in May 2026, and the market is scheduled to resolve by February 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET if the result is not definitively known sooner. The forecast is straightforward: traders are assessing the expected outcome of the election based on the party that secures the most seats, with official results from the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities used if needed. If a tied seat count occurs, the market uses valid votes and then alphabetical order as final tiebreakers. Current market probability is about 1.7%, reflecting the market sentiment and odds at the time of tracking. This event sits in the Elections category for the Middle East and is relevant for monitoring Lebanon, regional politics, and broader world election forecasts.