JD Vance out as VP by...?

JD Vance out as VP by...? is a political prediction market asking whether JD Vance will cease to serve as Vice-President of the United States at any point before the market’s end date. The event is framed around official action, resignation, removal, detention, or any other circumstance that permanently or temporarily prevents him from fulfilling the vice-presidential role. If an announcement of resignation or removal is made before the deadline, the market can resolve to “Yes” even if the change takes effect later. The forecast runs from its start date on May 27, 2026, through December 31, 2026, ET, making the timing of any political developments especially important. This market sits within the Politics category and the Trump Cabinet subcategory, with traders watching for shifts in market sentiment tied to the Trump administration and vice-presidential succession risk. Current market probability is about 1.25%, suggesting the expected outcome is strongly leaning toward “No,” though prediction market odds can change quickly as new information emerges. The resolution source is official U.S. government information and JD Vance statements, with credible reporting also allowed if needed.