How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes) is a weather prediction market focused on the total number of earthquakes with magnitude 7.0 or higher that occur worldwide during the event window. The forecast runs from December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET through June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, with the USGS Earthquake Hazards Program serving as the primary resolution source. If a qualifying quake happens near the deadline but has not yet appeared in the source, the market can remain open until July 7, 2026, if needed.

This event matters because major earthquakes are rare, high-impact natural disasters that attract close attention from traders following weather, science, and earthquake-related outcomes. As a prediction market, it reflects market sentiment on whether one or more 7.0+ quakes will be recorded before the cutoff date. The current market probability is about 1.95%, indicating traders see a low likelihood of the expected outcome. The listing is relevant for users tracking weather forecast events, natural disaster risk, and event prediction dynamics around seismic activity.