How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 25 - May 31?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 25 - May 31? is a weather prediction market centered on global seismic activity during the forecast window from May 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET through May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The event asks traders to forecast the total number of earthquakes anywhere on Earth with a magnitude of 6.5 or greater, using the USGS Earthquake Hazards Program as the primary resolution source. Because the outcome depends on recorded earthquake data, the market is closely tied to real-time monitoring of natural disasters and scientific reporting rather than opinion-based speculation.

The current market probability is about 35%, suggesting traders assign a moderate chance to the expected outcome being resolved in line with at least one qualifying quake during the period. If a major earthquake occurs near the end of the window, the market may remain open briefly to allow for magnitude revisions or delayed USGS updates, with a fallback resolution process if needed. This event prediction reflects broader market sentiment around earthquake frequency, timing, and the uncertainty of seismic events.