How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 25 - May 31?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 25 May 31? is a weather prediction market that asks traders to forecast the total number of earthquakes of magnitude...

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 25 May 31? is a weather prediction market that asks traders to forecast the total number of earthquakes of magnitude...

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 25 - May 31? is a weather prediction market that asks traders to forecast the total number of earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher recorded anywhere on Earth during the period from May 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET through May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The event is resolved using data from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, making the result dependent on official earthquake reporting rather than estimates or media coverage. If a qualifying quake occurs near the end of the window, the market may remain open briefly while USGS revisions are finalized, and it can stay open longer if a significant earthquake has not yet appeared in the source data. With a current market probability of about 60%, sentiment suggests traders expect at least one qualifying seismic event in the forecast period. This prediction market sits in the Weather, Science, Earthquakes, and Natural Disasters categories, and its outcome will be determined by the final count of qualifying earthquakes, not by magnitude trends or regional impacts.
Market Access
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Market opened
May 23, 2026, 2:19 AM
Last synced
May 30, 2026, 1:35 PM
Resolution target
May 31, 2026, 3:00 AM
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