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How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 25 - May 31?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 25 May 31? is a weather prediction market that asks traders to forecast the total number of earthquakes of magnitude...

Active market Resolves May 31, 2026 Trending higher
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 25 - May 31?
24h Volume
$1.9K
7d Volume
$22.1K
Liquidity
$6.6K
Open Interest
$10.9K
Trend Score
8.9K

Forecast Overview

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 25 - May 31? is a weather prediction market that asks traders to forecast the total number of earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher recorded anywhere on Earth during the period from May 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET through May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The event is resolved using data from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, making the result dependent on official earthquake reporting rather than estimates or media coverage. If a qualifying quake occurs near the end of the window, the market may remain open briefly while USGS revisions are finalized, and it can stay open longer if a significant earthquake has not yet appeared in the source data. With a current market probability of about 60%, sentiment suggests traders expect at least one qualifying seismic event in the forecast period. This prediction market sits in the Weather, Science, Earthquakes, and Natural Disasters categories, and its outcome will be determined by the final count of qualifying earthquakes, not by magnitude trends or regional impacts.

Market Access

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Timeline

Market opened

May 23, 2026, 2:19 AM

Last synced

May 30, 2026, 1:35 PM

Resolution target

May 31, 2026, 3:00 AM

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