Highest temperature in Wellington on May 31?

"Highest temperature in Wellington on May 31?" is a weather prediction market asking traders to forecast the highest temperature recorded at Wellington Intl Airport Station on 31 May 2026. The market will resolve to the temperature range containing the day’s maximum reading, using Wunderground as the reference source and whole-degree Celsius measurements for settlement. Because the event is tied to a single day’s official temperature data, the outcome will not be known until after the first datapoint for 1 June 2026 is published, which marks the cutoff for final revisions.

This event matters to participants tracking local weather patterns, daily temperature volatility, and short-horizon event prediction in the weather category. Current market sentiment implies a low probability of a very high reading, with the listed probability around 5%. That figure reflects the market’s present forecast rather than a guaranteed result. The market is active through 31 May 2026, and the final resolution will depend entirely on the recorded maximum temperature in Wellington on that date.