Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?

Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 16? is a weather prediction market asking traders to forecast the hottest temperature recorded at Warsaw Chopin Airport Station on 16 Jun 2026. The market resolves to the temperature range that contains the day’s official high, using Wunderground’s daily history page for Warsaw as the source of truth. Because the source records temperatures in whole degrees Celsius, the final outcome will be based on that level of precision, and any late revisions remain relevant until the first data point for 17 June is published. This makes the event a straightforward event prediction for local weather conditions in Warsaw, with resolution tied to a specific station rather than the broader city. Current market probability is around 5%, suggesting traders see a relatively low chance of the higher-temperature outcome, although that reflects market sentiment rather than certainty. The market is active through 16 June 2026, and interest is driven by short-term weather forecast expectations, daily temperature trends, and the odds implied by trading activity.