Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 30?

Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 30? is a weather prediction market focused on the maximum temperature recorded at Istanbul Airport on 30 May 2026. The event will resolve to the temperature range containing the highest NOAA reading for the day, using the "Temp" column on the official NOAA time series page for site LTFM. Because the market relies on whole-degree Celsius measurements, the final outcome will be based on that level of precision rather than fractional values. The resolution cannot occur until the first datapoint for the following date is published, after which late revisions will no longer be considered.

This event matters for traders following weather forecasts and daily temperature markets, since it translates real-time meteorological data into a clear expected outcome. Current market probability is about 5%, indicating that participants see a relatively low chance of the highest-temperature range being selected. As a recurring weather event, it also reflects broader market sentiment around Istanbul’s late-May conditions and the odds implied by the forecast.