GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…? is a prediction market on whether OpenAI will make a product explicitly called GPT-6 publicly available by December 31, 2025. The market resolves to “Yes” only if OpenAI launches GPT-6 for general public access, including through an open beta or open rolling waitlist; a closed beta or private access would not qualify. The forecast centers on a clearly defined AI product release, with official OpenAI announcements serving as the primary resolution source and credible reporting used for verification. As a technology and OpenAI market, it reflects trader expectations about the pace of frontier model development and the timing of the next major successor to GPT-5. Market sentiment can shift quickly as OpenAI updates, product rumors, or launch announcements emerge. At present, the market probability is shown at 0%, though that should be treated as a live prediction-market reading rather than a guarantee of the final outcome. The event began on August 7, 2025 and is scheduled to close at the end of 2025, making the remaining timeframe central to any event prediction or odds assessment.