Fed rate hike by...?

"Fed rate hike by...?" is a Finance prediction market on whether the Federal Reserve will raise the upper bound of the target federal funds rate during the listed FOMC meeting window. The event resolves to Yes if an increase is announced at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of that meeting, including any rate hike tied to the meeting itself; otherwise it resolves to No. Emergency rate hikes also count, and the Fed’s official policy releases are the primary resolution source. If the meeting does not occur within seven calendar days of its scheduled end date, and no qualifying move is announced, the market resolves to No. The forecast is closely watched because FOMC decisions shape inflation expectations, borrowing costs, and broader market sentiment around Fed policy under Jerome Powell. Current market probability is about 55%, suggesting traders see the odds as roughly balanced but slightly tilted toward a hike. As a prediction market event, it reflects live event prediction and changing trader expectations ahead of the deadline window ending October 29, 2026.