Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

“Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?” is a crypto prediction market asking whether Extended’s token will trade at a fully diluted valuation higher than the threshold named in the title one day after launch. The market resolves Yes only if the token becomes actively and publicly transferable, then reaches the specified FDV at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price, using the most liquid available price source. If Extended does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the expected outcome is No.

This event matters because it combines a token launch forecast with post-launch market pricing, giving traders a way to express market sentiment on Extended’s debut valuation. As of the latest update, the market-implied probability is 10.5%, suggesting traders see a relatively low chance that the FDV will clear the listed level within the required timeframe. The market runs from its start date through the January 1, 2027 resolution deadline.