Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ebola pandemic in 2026? is a prediction market asking whether the World Health Organization will explicitly describe Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any Ebola outbreak as a “pandemic” in an official public communication before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The event focuses on the wording used by the WHO, not just whether there is a serious outbreak. A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) will not be enough on its own unless the organization also uses the term “pandemic.”

This forecast matters because the resolution depends on authoritative public health language from the WHO, with official statements, reports, press briefings, or publications serving as the primary source. A consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. The market opened on May 15, 2026, and runs through the end of the year, giving traders time to assess shifting market sentiment around global health developments.

Current market probability is about 9.5%, suggesting the expected outcome is still “No,” though prediction market odds can change quickly as new information emerges.