Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round? is a prediction market focused on the first round of Colombia’s 2026 presidential election, scheduled for May 31, 2026. The market forecasts which candidate pair will move on to the June 21 runoff if no one wins outright with more than 50% of the valid votes. If a candidate secures a first-round majority, the event resolves to “1st Round Outright Winner”; if an unlisted pair advances, it resolves to “Other.”

The outcome matters because Colombia’s presidential contest will likely be decided through a two-round system, making the list of runoff contenders a key signal for election watchers, traders, and political analysts. Current market probability is about 10%, indicating limited expectation for this specific listed outcome at the moment, though market sentiment can change as vote totals, polling, and official reporting emerge.

Resolution depends on credible reporting and, if needed, the official results from Colombia’s National Civil Registry by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.