Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...? is a prediction market focused on whether Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo will resign, be removed, or otherwise cease to serve as President of Mexico for any period before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to Yes if an official resignation or removal is announced before the deadline, even if the change takes effect later; otherwise it resolves to No. Because the primary resolution sources are Sheinbaum herself or the Government of Mexico, with credible reporting also considered, this is an event prediction tied closely to political developments in Mexico rather than routine election timing. The forecast is relevant for traders watching Mexico politics, the Mexico cartel war, and broader market sentiment around government stability. As of the latest data, the market probability is 0%, indicating traders currently see virtually no chance of Sheinbaum leaving office by the specified date. The event remains active through the forecast window, making it a clear example of an election prediction market where odds can shift quickly if major political or security developments emerge.