2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout is a prediction market on the official voter turnout rate in the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election. The forecast ask...

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout is a prediction market on the official voter turnout rate in the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election. The forecast ask...

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout is a prediction market on the official voter turnout rate in the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election. The forecast asks traders to estimate how many registered voters will cast ballots, using the National Election Commission’s final results from South Korea. In this market, turnout is defined as total votes cast divided by total registered voters, and if the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the higher bracket will be selected. The event is active through election day, with resolution based on official government reporting. If the outcome is not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to the lowest bracket. Current market probability is about 15%, which reflects market sentiment rather than a certainty. As an election prediction market, it provides a live forecast of expected turnout, making it relevant for Seoul politics, South Korea elections, and broader event prediction analysis.
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Market opened
May 27, 2026, 4:08 AM
Last synced
May 30, 2026, 1:35 PM
Resolution target
Jun 3, 2026, 9:00 AM
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