[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":90},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-will-usd-hit-iranian-rials-by-may-31":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"431398","will-usd-hit-iranian-rials-by-may-31","Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by May 31?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or above the specified price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.bonbast.com\u002Fgraph\u002Fusd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nRevisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.bonbast.com\u002Fgraph\u002Fusd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.","Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by May 31? is a prediction market on the U.S. dollar’s exchange rate against the Iranian rial, with traders forecasting whether the daily finalized free-market USD rate on Bonbast will reach or exceed the listed threshold at any point between market creation and May 31, 2026. The event matters because it tracks a volatile economy and exchange rate conditions in Iran, where currency moves can reflect broader market sentiment, inflation pressure, and regional uncertainty. Resolution is based on Bonbast’s published USD graph, which reports prices in Iranian toman; for this market, the level is interpreted in Iranian rials using the provided conversion. A daily figure counts as finalized once the next day’s data is released, and the market will settle to Yes if the threshold is met on any qualifying day before the deadline. Current market probability is about 2.05%, indicating traders assign low odds to the USD reaching that level by the end of May.","ECONOMY","Exchange Rate",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"bank","USD","Iran","Economy","Middle East","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-usd-reach-1pt5m-iranian-rials-by-january-31-Hp5QSWwrZbSM.jpg",2.05,2304.793403,20538.963609000002,4698.64524,23675.869935,8253.8148322,true,false,"2026-04-30T19:26:44.768Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-29T15:26:26.852Z","2026-05-30T10:31:42.795Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwill-usd-hit-iranian-rials-by-may-31?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"will usd hit ___ iranian rials by may 31?","will usd hit ___ iranian rials by may 31? prediction","will usd hit ___ iranian rials by may 31? odds","will usd hit ___ iranian rials by may 31? probability","economy prediction market","economic forecast","economic probability","2026-06-05T13:33:13.740Z","2026-05-30T10:43:14.172Z",0,[44,59,77],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":48,"tags":49,"probability":53,"createdAt":54,"updatedAt":55,"resolutionDate":56,"description":57,"summary":57,"volume1wk":58,"featured":26},"385557","Largest Company end of May?","largest-company-end-of-may-167","Tech",[48,16,50,51,52],"Finance","Big Tech","Business",99.95,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.200Z","2026-05-30T10:37:43.438Z","2026-05-31T06:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",2345554.2487270003,{"id":60,"title":61,"slug":62,"category":10,"subcategory":63,"tags":64,"probability":71,"createdAt":72,"updatedAt":73,"resolutionDate":74,"description":75,"summary":75,"volume1wk":76,"featured":26},"524097","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15","transit",[63,15,65,16,66,67,68,69,70],"Oil","Geopolitics","U.S. x Iran","ships","Strait of Hormuz","Hormuz",7.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.055Z","2026-05-30T10:31:45.641Z","2026-06-15T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on\u002Froll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 15, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https:\u002F\u002Fportwatch.imf.org\u002Fpages\u002Fcb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.",1537804.481213998,{"id":78,"title":79,"slug":80,"category":10,"subcategory":69,"tags":81,"probability":84,"createdAt":85,"updatedAt":86,"resolutionDate":87,"description":88,"summary":88,"volume1wk":89,"featured":26},"455867","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31",[69,16,82,83,67,68,15,65,66],"Iran Ceasefire","Politics",56,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.752Z","2026-05-30T10:36:40.524Z","2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on\u002Froll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for July 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https:\u002F\u002Fportwatch.imf.org\u002Fpages\u002Fcb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.",1175859.2980450026,1780676586253]