[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":86},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-will-trump-restart-project-freedom-by":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":19},"478614","will-trump-restart-project-freedom-by","Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?","Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.\n\nOnly definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","Will Trump restart Project Freedom by the market’s deadline? This politics prediction market asks whether Donald Trump, the United States government, or the U.S. military will formally announce that Project Freedom has been restarted by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Project Freedom refers to a U.S.-led military initiative designed to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic waterway central to U.S.-Iran geopolitics and maritime security. The forecast resolves to “Yes” only if there is a definitive announcement, either using the Project Freedom name or describing a substantially equivalent U.S. military program to protect, escort, or retrieve commercial vessels in or through the Strait of Hormuz. Non-committal comments, planning signals, or expressions of openness do not qualify. As a political forecast tied to the Strait of Hormuz and broader Iran-related tensions, the event draws attention from traders watching U.S. foreign policy, military posture, and escalation risk. Current market probability is not shown in the data, so the event’s odds should be interpreted through market sentiment and incoming official announcements before the end date.","POLITICS","Strait of Hormuz",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"Politics","Geopolitics","Trump","Iran","U.S. x Iran","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-trump-restart-project-freedom-by-7Q6qHTVOkVDx.jpg",0,93332.11042900002,790101.2676500006,94672.44307,196474.592473,302630.9241235002,true,false,"2026-05-13T03:35:20.580Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-12T20:10:21.853Z","2026-05-30T10:37:00.199Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwill-trump-restart-project-freedom-by?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"will trump restart project freedom by...?","will trump restart project freedom by...? prediction","will trump restart project freedom by...? odds","will trump restart project freedom by...? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-05T10:36:42.762Z","2026-05-30T10:42:47.687Z",[43,61,71],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":47,"probability":55,"createdAt":56,"updatedAt":57,"resolutionDate":58,"description":59,"summary":59,"volume1wk":60,"featured":25},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[13,48,49,50,51,52,53,54],"US Election","Elections","World Elections","Global Elections","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",2.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-05-30T10:39:47.083Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9249335.794150999,{"id":62,"title":63,"slug":64,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":65,"probability":19,"createdAt":66,"updatedAt":67,"resolutionDate":68,"description":69,"summary":69,"volume1wk":70,"featured":25},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[13,14,17,16],"2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":72,"title":73,"slug":74,"category":10,"subcategory":49,"tags":75,"probability":80,"createdAt":81,"updatedAt":82,"resolutionDate":83,"description":84,"summary":84,"volume1wk":85,"featured":25},"57096","California Governor Election Winner","california-governor-election-2026",[49,48,13,76,77,78,79],"Governor midterms","California Midterm","rewards 100, 4.5, 100","California Governor",0.25,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.509Z","2026-05-30T10:32:16.807Z","2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",4083953.7799110003,1780676602235]