[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":80},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-will-trump-resign-by-december-31-2026":3},{"event":4,"related":40},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":15,"probability":16,"volume24hr":17,"volume1wk":18,"liquidity":19,"openInterest":20,"trendScore":21,"active":22,"closed":23,"featured":23,"startDate":24,"endDate":25,"createdAtRemote":26,"updatedAtRemote":27,"affiliateUrl":28,"polymarketUrl":28,"searchKeywords":29,"syncedAt":37,"createdAt":38,"marketCount":39},"34349","will-trump-resign-by-december-31-2026","Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? is a political prediction market asking whether President Donald Trump will announce that he has resigned, or will resign, the presidency by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market resolves to Yes only if Trump makes that announcement by the deadline; if he does not, or if resignation becomes impossible for resolution purposes, the outcome is No. Because the question hinges on a public announcement rather than the actual act of leaving office, the forecast focuses on official statements and credible reporting. The event is part of the Politics category, under Trump, and is being tracked as a political forecast with event prediction implications for traders following Trump presidency odds. As of the latest market data, the probability of a Yes outcome is about 6.5%, suggesting market sentiment leans strongly toward No while still assigning some chance to an unexpected resignation announcement before the end-of-2026 deadline.","POLITICS","Trump",[11,13,14],"Trump Presidency","Politics","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-trump-resign-in-2025-xcz2AkFjPF5X.jpg",6.5,2000,10284.193562,59466.2615,110751.791856,15978.5103686,true,false,"2025-07-25T18:59:28.524Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2025-07-25T18:31:12.059Z","2026-06-16T10:02:27.110Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwill-trump-resign-by-december-31-2026?r=predstack",[30,31,32,33,34,35,36],"will trump resign by december 31, 2026?","will trump resign by december 31, 2026? prediction","will trump resign by december 31, 2026? odds","will trump resign by december 31, 2026? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-16T10:34:12.270Z","2026-06-16T10:08:33.055Z",0,[41,56,69],{"id":42,"title":43,"slug":44,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":45,"probability":50,"createdAt":51,"updatedAt":52,"resolutionDate":53,"description":54,"summary":54,"volume1wk":55,"featured":22},"585449","Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373",[11,46,47,48,49,14],"Peace Deal","geopolitcs","Iran","U.S. x Iran",10.5,"2026-06-16T10:07:56.091Z","2026-06-16T10:06:50.966Z","2026-08-01T03:59:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",532792.541632,{"id":57,"title":58,"slug":59,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":60,"probability":64,"createdAt":65,"updatedAt":66,"resolutionDate":25,"description":67,"summary":67,"volume1wk":68,"featured":23},"73079","Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?","which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026",[11,14,61,62,63],"Foreign Policy","World","Geopolitics",100,"2026-05-30T10:43:01.809Z","2026-06-16T10:02:28.040Z","If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https:\u002F\u002Ftwitter.com\u002FPOTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",80566.423931,{"id":70,"title":71,"slug":72,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":73,"probability":39,"createdAt":75,"updatedAt":76,"resolutionDate":77,"description":78,"summary":78,"volume1wk":79,"featured":23},"146072","Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by...?","will-trump-meet-with-delcy-rodrguez-by-march-31",[11,14,74,63],"Venezuela","2026-05-30T10:43:19.901Z","2026-06-16T10:00:21.101Z","2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump meets with Delcy Rodríguez by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n",61718.413439,1781606231152]