[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":79},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-onptptpt":3},{"event":4,"related":41},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":16,"probability":17,"volume24hr":18,"volume1wk":19,"liquidity":20,"openInterest":21,"trendScore":22,"active":23,"closed":24,"featured":24,"startDate":25,"endDate":26,"createdAtRemote":27,"updatedAtRemote":28,"affiliateUrl":29,"polymarketUrl":29,"searchKeywords":30,"syncedAt":38,"createdAt":39,"marketCount":40},"548786","will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-onptptpt","Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThis includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He\u002FShe isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He\u002FShe isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","Will Trump publicly insult someone on...? is a prediction market in the Culture category that asks whether Donald Trump will make any public statement on the specified date ET that insults, mocks, or attacks a real person in a clearly negative personal or professional way. The market resolves to Yes only if Trump uses derogatory language, an insulting nickname, or another direct attack that credible reporting confirms; general policy criticism without personal disparagement does not count. This event prediction is relevant because Trump’s public remarks are closely watched and often shape political and media narratives, making it a frequent focus for traders tracking market sentiment around his appearances and statements. The forecast runs from June 1, 2026 through June 30, 2026, giving the market a defined window for resolution. At the moment, the listed probability is 100%, indicating the market is pricing in an expected outcome of Yes, though prediction market odds can change as new statements, coverage, or context emerge. For users searching for Trump Daily, politics, or culture prediction market odds, this listing tracks whether a qualifying insult is publicly made before the deadline.","CULTURE","Trump",[11,13,14,15],"Trump Daily","Culture","Politics","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwhat-will-trump-say-this-week-april-19-QYCGq5klck49.jpg",100,7440.583492,21563.593699,76243.52852,12579.260736999997,25438.075559700002,true,false,"2026-06-01T18:05:50.605Z","2026-06-30T16:00:00.000Z","2026-06-01T17:43:43.072Z","2026-06-16T10:03:42.414Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwill-trump-publicly-insult-someone-onptptpt?r=predstack",[31,32,33,34,35,36,37],"will trump publicly insult someone on...?","will trump publicly insult someone on...? prediction","will trump publicly insult someone on...? odds","will trump publicly insult someone on...? probability","culture prediction market","entertainment forecast","pop culture odds","2026-06-16T10:24:27.908Z","2026-06-16T10:08:20.981Z",0,[42,55,68],{"id":43,"title":44,"slug":45,"category":10,"subcategory":14,"tags":46,"probability":49,"createdAt":50,"updatedAt":51,"resolutionDate":52,"description":53,"summary":53,"volume1wk":54,"featured":23},"90177","Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?","will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027",[14,15,47,48],"Science","Aliens",9.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.657Z","2026-06-16T10:03:58.190Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",3368848.001206001,{"id":56,"title":57,"slug":58,"category":10,"subcategory":14,"tags":59,"probability":40,"createdAt":63,"updatedAt":64,"resolutionDate":65,"description":66,"summary":66,"volume1wk":67,"featured":24},"145916","New \"Stranger Things\" episode released by...? ","new-stranger-things-episode-released-by-wednesday",[14,60,61,62],"TV","netflix","Movies","2026-05-30T10:42:43.455Z","2026-06-16T10:01:44.384Z","2026-01-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Netflix officially releases a new episode of Stranger Things (i.e., an episode that was not previously available to stream on Netflix) between market creation and January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, an “episode” must be listed as a distinct episode of Stranger Things on Netflix and be playable for general subscribers in the United States. A behind-the-scenes featurette, documentary, trailer, recap, cast interview, deleted scenes compilation, or other bonus content will not count unless it is clearly presented by Netflix as an official numbered or titled episode of the series.\n\nIf Netflix releases an alternate cut, extended cut, or “secret” version of an already-released episode, it will not count unless it is listed as a separate episode entry on Netflix.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the Stranger Things title page on Netflix (episode list and availability), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",19381190.250445094,{"id":69,"title":70,"slug":71,"category":10,"subcategory":14,"tags":72,"probability":40,"createdAt":74,"updatedAt":75,"resolutionDate":76,"description":77,"summary":77,"volume1wk":78,"featured":24},"564322","Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026?","elon-musk-of-tweets-june-9-june-16",[14,15,73],"Tweet Markets","2026-06-16T10:07:51.997Z","2026-06-16T10:07:11.122Z","2026-06-16T16:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https:\u002F\u002Fx.com\u002Felonmusk\u002Fstatus\u002F1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https:\u002F\u002Fxtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",3821001.4626410003,1781606245302]