[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":87},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on-312":3},{"event":4,"related":41},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":16,"probability":17,"volume24hr":18,"volume1wk":19,"liquidity":20,"openInterest":21,"trendScore":22,"active":23,"closed":24,"featured":24,"startDate":25,"endDate":26,"createdAtRemote":27,"updatedAtRemote":28,"affiliateUrl":29,"polymarketUrl":29,"searchKeywords":30,"syncedAt":38,"createdAt":39,"marketCount":40},"410152","will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on-312","Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThis includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He\u002FShe isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He\u002FShe isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.\n\nA direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","Will Trump publicly insult someone on...? is a Politics prediction market asking whether Donald Trump will make a public statement on the specified date in which he insults, mocks, or personally attacks a real person. The market resolves to Yes if Trump uses clearly negative personal or professional language toward a non-fictional individual in any public written, verbal, or recorded statement; otherwise it resolves to No. Policy criticism without disparaging language does not count, which makes the resolution criteria important for traders following the event prediction closely. This Trump Daily market reflects ongoing interest in Trump’s public messaging and the way market sentiment shifts around his speeches, interviews, posts, and appearances. Current market probability is 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect the expected outcome to be a Yes, though prediction market odds can still change if no qualifying statement is made before resolution. The relevant timeframe runs from the market’s start date through the end date, with final resolution based on a consensus of credible reporting.","POLITICS","Trump Daily",[11,13,14,15],"Politics","Culture","Trump","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwhat-will-trump-say-this-week-april-19-QYCGq5klck49.jpg",100,196657.983376,360395.0729890001,1369502.29158,192205.63928499998,480347.9719007,true,false,"2026-04-30T15:38:30.362Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-23T15:17:36.386Z","2026-05-30T10:39:11.319Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwill-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on-312?r=predstack",[31,32,33,34,35,36,37],"will trump publicly insult someone on...?","will trump publicly insult someone on...? prediction","will trump publicly insult someone on...? odds","will trump publicly insult someone on...? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-05T13:07:24.814Z","2026-05-30T10:42:49.889Z",0,[42,60,72],{"id":43,"title":44,"slug":45,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":46,"probability":54,"createdAt":55,"updatedAt":56,"resolutionDate":57,"description":58,"summary":58,"volume1wk":59,"featured":23},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[13,47,48,49,50,51,52,53],"US Election","Elections","World Elections","Global Elections","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",2.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-05-30T10:39:47.083Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9249335.794150999,{"id":61,"title":62,"slug":63,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":64,"probability":40,"createdAt":68,"updatedAt":69,"resolutionDate":26,"description":70,"summary":70,"volume1wk":71,"featured":23},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[13,65,66,67],"Geopolitics","U.S. x Iran","Iran","2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":73,"title":74,"slug":75,"category":10,"subcategory":48,"tags":76,"probability":81,"createdAt":82,"updatedAt":83,"resolutionDate":84,"description":85,"summary":85,"volume1wk":86,"featured":23},"57096","California Governor Election Winner","california-governor-election-2026",[48,47,13,77,78,79,80],"Governor midterms","California Midterm","rewards 100, 4.5, 100","California Governor",0.25,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.509Z","2026-05-30T10:32:16.807Z","2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",4083953.7799110003,1780676656852]