[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":82},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-may-31":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"435087","will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-may-31","Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).\n\nGeneral neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.\n\nAny written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.\n\nText or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.","Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31? is a political prediction market asking whether Donald Trump will publicly praise Allah between the market’s creation date and May 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The event resolves to Yes only if Trump makes a qualifying statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for Allah, whether spoken, written, or posted in official social media content. Neutral references or diplomatic wording do not count unless they include a positive evaluation.\n\nThis forecast matters because it sits at the intersection of U.S. politics, geopolitics, and sensitive religious language, with tags including Trump, Iran, Geopolitics, and Iran Ceasefire. For traders, the event prediction is driven by public statements from Trump, which are the resolution source. Current market probability is about 3.65%, indicating traders see a low chance of a qualifying remark before the deadline. As with any prediction market, the odds reflect market sentiment rather than certainty, and the expected outcome can shift if new public comments emerge before the end date.","POLITICS","Politics",[11,13,14,15,16],"Trump","Iran","Geopolitics","Iran Ceasefire","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-trump-praise-allah-again-by-april-15-1p5i3gJviiV_.jpg",3.65,844.066664,16334.418159000004,11361.06741,23155.066161,7594.572261700001,true,false,"2026-04-30T18:44:41.951Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-30T17:00:28.609Z","2026-05-30T10:33:58.701Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwill-trump-praise-allah-again-by-may-31?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"will trump praise allah again by may 31?","will trump praise allah again by may 31? prediction","will trump praise allah again by may 31? odds","will trump praise allah again by may 31? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-05T13:37:51.755Z","2026-05-30T10:43:18.646Z",0,[43,61,71],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":47,"probability":55,"createdAt":56,"updatedAt":57,"resolutionDate":58,"description":59,"summary":59,"volume1wk":60,"featured":24},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[11,48,49,50,51,52,53,54],"US Election","Elections","World Elections","Global Elections","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",2.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-05-30T10:39:47.083Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9249335.794150999,{"id":62,"title":63,"slug":64,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":65,"probability":41,"createdAt":67,"updatedAt":68,"resolutionDate":27,"description":69,"summary":69,"volume1wk":70,"featured":24},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[11,15,66,14],"U.S. x Iran","2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":72,"title":73,"slug":74,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":75,"probability":41,"createdAt":77,"updatedAt":78,"resolutionDate":79,"description":80,"summary":80,"volume1wk":81,"featured":24},"371649","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",[11,16,14,76,13,66,15],"Vance","2026-05-30T10:42:45.013Z","2026-05-30T10:39:46.810Z","2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.  \n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.",2654417.6848280015,1780676602204]