[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":80},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-will-trump-dance-on":3},{"event":4,"related":40},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":16,"probability":17,"volume24hr":18,"volume1wk":19,"liquidity":20,"openInterest":21,"trendScore":22,"active":23,"closed":24,"featured":24,"startDate":25,"endDate":26,"createdAtRemote":27,"updatedAtRemote":28,"affiliateUrl":29,"polymarketUrl":29,"searchKeywords":30,"syncedAt":38,"createdAt":39,"marketCount":17},"428235","will-trump-dance-on","Will Trump dance on...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\n\"Dancing\" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.\n\nAI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. \n\nVideos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.\n\nThis market will resolve based on video footage.","Will Trump dance on...? is a Culture prediction market asking whether Donald Trump will be seen dancing on the specified date. The event resolves to \"Yes\" only if video footage shows Trump performing deliberate, rhythmic body movement between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on that day; casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental movement does not count. The market also excludes AI-generated content, deepfakes, altered footage, and videos posted later from outside the time window. This makes the forecast highly dependent on verifiable public video evidence and clear resolution rules.\n\nAs a culture and politics event prediction, it draws attention because Trump-related media moments often generate strong market sentiment and trading activity across pop culture odds. The current market probability is 0, indicating traders are not pricing in a confirmed dancing appearance at the moment. The market opened on April 28, 2026 and remains active through May 31, 2026. For prediction market participants, the key question is simple: will footage emerge that meets the definition of dancing before the deadline?","CULTURE","Culture",[11,13,14,15],"Politics","Trump","Trump Daily","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-trump-dance-during-tpusa-event-on-april-17-xailndlB_5ND.jpg",0,31428.538305,1471408.9018590038,1126622.7384,677336.999664,682461.4873902012,true,false,"2026-04-28T20:37:20.171Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-28T17:28:17.288Z","2026-05-30T10:33:20.491Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwill-trump-dance-on?r=predstack",[31,32,33,34,35,36,37],"will trump dance on...?","will trump dance on...? prediction","will trump dance on...? odds","will trump dance on...? probability","culture prediction market","entertainment forecast","pop culture odds","2026-06-05T10:34:57.377Z","2026-05-30T10:42:46.188Z",[41,54,67],{"id":42,"title":43,"slug":44,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":45,"probability":48,"createdAt":49,"updatedAt":50,"resolutionDate":51,"description":52,"summary":52,"volume1wk":53,"featured":23},"90177","Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?","will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027",[11,13,46,47],"Science","Aliens",14.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.657Z","2026-05-30T10:32:02.153Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",3652303.3036910007,{"id":55,"title":56,"slug":57,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":58,"probability":17,"createdAt":62,"updatedAt":63,"resolutionDate":64,"description":65,"summary":65,"volume1wk":66,"featured":24},"145916","New \"Stranger Things\" episode released by...? ","new-stranger-things-episode-released-by-wednesday",[11,59,60,61],"TV","netflix","Movies","2026-05-30T10:42:43.455Z","2026-05-30T10:30:54.853Z","2026-01-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Netflix officially releases a new episode of Stranger Things (i.e., an episode that was not previously available to stream on Netflix) between market creation and January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, an “episode” must be listed as a distinct episode of Stranger Things on Netflix and be playable for general subscribers in the United States. A behind-the-scenes featurette, documentary, trailer, recap, cast interview, deleted scenes compilation, or other bonus content will not count unless it is clearly presented by Netflix as an official numbered or titled episode of the series.\n\nIf Netflix releases an alternate cut, extended cut, or “secret” version of an already-released episode, it will not count unless it is listed as a separate episode entry on Netflix.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the Stranger Things title page on Netflix (episode list and availability), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",19453459.412601095,{"id":68,"title":69,"slug":70,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":71,"probability":74,"createdAt":75,"updatedAt":76,"resolutionDate":77,"description":78,"summary":78,"volume1wk":79,"featured":24},"515567","Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026?","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-26-june-2",[11,13,72,73],"Tweet Markets","Rewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.824Z","2026-05-30T10:40:11.045Z","2026-06-02T16:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 26 12:00 PM ET to June 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https:\u002F\u002Fx.com\u002Felonmusk\u002Fstatus\u002F1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https:\u002F\u002Fxtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",3323634.386235,1780676613989]