[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":90},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-will-the-senate-pass-a-reconciliation-bill-by":3},{"event":4,"related":41},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":18},"449100","will-the-senate-pass-a-reconciliation-bill-by","Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...? is a political prediction market that tracks whether the U.S. Senate will approve a reconciliation bill by the stated deadline of 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026. The market resolves to Yes only if official U.S. government information confirms passage by that time; otherwise it resolves to No, with credible reporting also used as a supporting source. As an Elections category event in the Politics subcategory, it sits squarely within congressional lawmaking and the broader debate over government funding and related priorities, including issues tied to DHS and CBP. Traders are forecasting the expected outcome through market odds and shifting market sentiment, making it a useful event prediction for observers following Congress. At the time of the latest update, the market probability is 0%, indicating no priced expectation of passage yet. That figure reflects current trader sentiment rather than a guarantee, and it may change as the deadline approaches and legislative negotiations continue.","ELECTIONS","Politics",[11,13,14,15,16],"Congress","Gov Shutdown","DHS","CBP","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-senate-pass-funding-bill-by-7NO2CCO7a2Mk.png",0,5127.70216,18176.975368,28240.95482,18741.098298,13665.1346544,true,false,"2026-05-04T23:56:05.960Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-04T20:15:35.842Z","2026-05-30T10:32:20.956Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwill-the-senate-pass-a-reconciliation-bill-by?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?","will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by...? prediction","will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by...? odds","will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by...? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:35:45.031Z","2026-05-30T10:43:16.584Z",[42,60,74],{"id":43,"title":44,"slug":45,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":46,"probability":54,"createdAt":55,"updatedAt":56,"resolutionDate":57,"description":58,"summary":58,"volume1wk":59,"featured":24},"34584","Colombia Presidential Election","colombia-presidential-election",[11,47,48,49,50,51,52,53],"Global Elections","Elections","World","World Elections","Colombia Election","Colombia","Main Election",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.106Z","2026-05-30T10:40:01.668Z","2026-06-21T14:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",2471916.2878689985,{"id":61,"title":62,"slug":63,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":64,"probability":68,"createdAt":69,"updatedAt":70,"resolutionDate":71,"description":72,"summary":72,"volume1wk":73,"featured":25},"106520","Peru Presidential Election Winner","peru-presidential-election-winner",[11,47,50,48,65,66,53,67],"Peru","Peru Election","Rewards 200, 4.5, 50",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.740Z","2026-05-30T10:40:04.425Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ",3592881.1421839977,{"id":75,"title":76,"slug":77,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":78,"probability":84,"createdAt":85,"updatedAt":86,"resolutionDate":87,"description":88,"summary":88,"volume1wk":89,"featured":25},"485538","Makerfield by-election Winner","makerfield-by-election-winner",[11,79,47,80,81,53,48,82,83],"Main Elections","UK Elections","UK","Starmer","Makerfield",74,"2026-05-30T10:42:47.119Z","2026-05-30T10:31:32.628Z","2026-06-18T00:00:00.000Z","A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wigan.gov.uk\u002F).",1004735.6340569996,1780676622468]