[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":83},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-will-spacex-acquire-cursor":3},{"event":4,"related":44},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":19,"probability":20,"volume24hr":21,"volume1wk":22,"liquidity":23,"openInterest":24,"trendScore":25,"active":26,"closed":27,"featured":27,"startDate":28,"endDate":29,"createdAtRemote":30,"updatedAtRemote":31,"affiliateUrl":32,"polymarketUrl":32,"searchKeywords":33,"syncedAt":41,"createdAt":42,"marketCount":43},"404632","will-spacex-acquire-cursor","Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Cursor will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nMergers or acquisitions involving Cursor or its parent company (if applicable), and SpaceX or its parent company, Space Exploration Technologies Corp., will qualify.\n\nAn announcement by Cursor or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition\u002Fmerger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cursor and SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by...? is a technology prediction market asking whether Cursor will be officially announced as acquired by, merged with, or controlled by SpaceX or its parent company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to Yes only if an official announcement confirms the acquisition, merger, or a transaction that gives SpaceX controlling interest; partial investments without control do not qualify. This matters because it sits at the intersection of AI, Elon Musk’s broader business ecosystem, and high-profile tech deal speculation, making it a closely watched event prediction for traders following technology and acquisition news.\n\nThe forecast is currently trading at about 89.5% probability, suggesting strong market sentiment that the expected outcome is a Yes resolution, though that remains subject to official confirmation. As a prediction market in the Tech category, it draws attention from traders tracking SpaceX, Cursor, and related reporting. The active timeframe began on April 22, 2026 and runs through the end date in late 2026, giving the market a long horizon for new developments, announcements, or credible reporting that could affect odds.","TECH","Tech",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18],"AI","Elon Musk","Finance","Acquisitions","SpaceX","Tesla","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-spacex-acquire-cursor-0bU8zr85LSVB.png",89.5,2759.8327889999996,9547.938666,19700.5909,36445.394631999996,8184.4161743,true,false,"2026-04-22T00:07:38.543Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-21T23:58:56.581Z","2026-06-16T10:07:13.288Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwill-spacex-acquire-cursor?r=predstack",[34,35,36,37,38,39,40],"will spacex acquire cursor by...?","will spacex acquire cursor by...? prediction","will spacex acquire cursor by...? odds","will spacex acquire cursor by...? probability","technology prediction market","tech forecast","technology probability","2026-06-16T10:35:30.653Z","2026-06-16T10:08:34.533Z",0,[45,60,71],{"id":46,"title":47,"slug":48,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":49,"probability":54,"createdAt":55,"updatedAt":56,"resolutionDate":57,"description":58,"summary":58,"volume1wk":59,"featured":27},"57705","Which company has best AI model end of June?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june",[11,50,51,52,53,13],"Big Tech","GPT-5","Grok","OpenAI",4.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.365Z","2026-06-16T10:07:42.031Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",2723773.234457999,{"id":61,"title":62,"slug":63,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":64,"probability":65,"createdAt":66,"updatedAt":67,"resolutionDate":68,"description":69,"summary":69,"volume1wk":70,"featured":27},"556131","Which company has best AI model end of July?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-july-299",[11,13],9.2,"2026-06-16T10:08:00.151Z","2026-06-16T10:02:54.129Z","2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",205376.229327,{"id":72,"title":73,"slug":74,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":75,"probability":78,"createdAt":79,"updatedAt":80,"resolutionDate":57,"description":81,"summary":81,"volume1wk":82,"featured":27},"117916","Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?","which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-june-30",[11,13,76,77,52],"Business","DeepSeek",4.35,"2026-05-30T10:42:55.527Z","2026-06-16T10:02:05.041Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.\n",134039.990417,1781606246297]