[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":85},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-will-north-and-south-korea-engage-in-direct-talks-by-2027":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"73212","will-north-and-south-korea-engage-in-direct-talks-by-2027","Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. \n\nRoutine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. \n\nThe resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","\"Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?\" is a geopolitics prediction market on whether the two governments will hold official direct contact before June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The event covers any in-person, phone, or virtual meeting or communication between North Korean and South Korean government representatives, as long as it is not routed through a third party. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or discussions conducted entirely via another country or organization do not qualify. Resolution will depend on credible reporting or public acknowledgment by either government. \n\nThis market matters because direct talks between North Korea and South Korea can signal shifts in regional diplomacy, foreign policy, and security conditions on the Korean Peninsula. Traders are currently assigning a low probability of about 4.4%, suggesting market sentiment expects no direct talks before the deadline. As a prediction market event, it reflects the forecast and odds around a specific diplomatic outcome rather than a statement of certainty.","GEOPOLITICS","World",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"Geopolitics","North Korea","Foreign Policy","South Korea","Politics","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-north-and-south-korea-engage-in-direct-talks-in-2025-VFIquGOOsCda.jpg",4.4,13.1,36523.40091499999,11600.16404,9410.35075,13283.603082499996,true,false,"2025-11-05T19:30:51.476Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","2025-11-04T22:10:41.946Z","2026-06-16T10:02:46.815Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwill-north-and-south-korea-engage-in-direct-talks-by-2027?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"will north and south korea engage in direct talks by june 30?","will north and south korea engage in direct talks by june 30? prediction","will north and south korea engage in direct talks by june 30? odds","will north and south korea engage in direct talks by june 30? probability","geopolitics prediction market","geopolitical forecast","geopolitical probability","2026-06-16T10:19:54.217Z","2026-06-16T10:08:13.596Z",0,[44,60,71],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":48,"probability":42,"createdAt":56,"updatedAt":57,"resolutionDate":28,"description":58,"summary":58,"volume1wk":59,"featured":26},"72352","Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?","will-russia-capture-all-of-kupiansk-by",[11,49,13,17,50,51,52,53,54,55],"Kupyansk","putin","Military Actions","Russia Capture","Ukraine Map","Ukraine","Russia","2026-05-30T10:42:53.083Z","2026-06-16T10:03:16.608Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kupiansk by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nKupiansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https:\u002F\u002Fstorymaps.arcgis.com\u002Fstories\u002F36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as \"Moskovka\" with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, but the shading does not precisely match up with the border, such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, areas separated from the main municipality through a darker grey line, such as in the southeast of Kupiansk (https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fh-b99a52275d.png), will not count towards the municipality.\n\nOnce Russia captures Kupiansk, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nKupiansk Location: https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002FKupiansk+location.jpeg\nLocation on Google maps: https:\u002F\u002Fmaps.app.goo.gl\u002FngCjTi39GSjbzaC46 \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https:\u002F\u002Fdeepstatemap.live\u002F) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.",844316.1563289999,{"id":61,"title":62,"slug":63,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":64,"probability":66,"createdAt":67,"updatedAt":68,"resolutionDate":28,"description":69,"summary":69,"volume1wk":70,"featured":26},"107726","Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?","will-china-invade-taiwan-by-june-30-2026",[11,65,13,17],"China",0.35,"2026-05-30T10:42:49.544Z","2026-06-16T10:05:12.488Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",680097.4484820002,{"id":72,"title":73,"slug":74,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":75,"probability":79,"createdAt":80,"updatedAt":81,"resolutionDate":82,"description":83,"summary":83,"volume1wk":84,"featured":26},"34051","Netanyahu out by...?","netanyahu-out-before-2027",[11,13,76,77,17,78],"Middle East","Israel","Earn 4%",64.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:49.232Z","2026-06-16T10:06:16.880Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from\u002Fis removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNote that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\" regardless of if\u002Fwhen he actually steps down.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",563059.4055219998,1781606253095]