[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":86},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-will-grahm-platner-drop-out-before-the-midterms-20260608200746523":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"573701","will-grahm-platner-drop-out-before-the-midterms-20260608200746523","Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Graham Platner withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Maine Senate election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Graham Platner or his official\u002Flegal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms? is an election prediction market focused on the 2026 Maine Senate race and whether Graham Platner will withdraw, announce a suspension of his campaign, or otherwise leave the contest before the midterm deadline. The market resolves to \"Yes\" if Platner officially announces withdrawal from the 2026 Maine Senate election, or if his campaign is suspended, by November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET; otherwise it resolves to \"No.\" This makes the event relevant to traders tracking Maine politics, Senate election developments, and broader midterm election forecasts. As of the latest data, the market assigns about a 13.5% probability to a withdrawal, suggesting traders currently view a dropout as possible but not the base-case expected outcome. Resolution is based primarily on official statements from Graham Platner or his legal representatives, with credible reporting also considered if needed. The event runs from June 8, 2026 through the resolution deadline in early November, giving the prediction market a long runway for changes in market sentiment as the campaign develops.","ELECTIONS","maine",[11,13,14,15,16],"Elections","politcs","Maine Midterm","June 9 Primaries","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-grahm-platner-drop-out-before-the-midterms-20260608200746523-CPoV5jerFNIF.jpg",13.5,4052.7,41131.828128,39667.1699,11478.641673,22299.3324184,true,false,"2026-06-08T20:21:49.389Z","2026-11-03T04:59:00.000Z","2026-06-08T20:08:30.276Z","2026-06-16T10:02:45.794Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwill-grahm-platner-drop-out-before-the-midterms-20260608200746523?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"will grahm platner drop out before the midterms?","will grahm platner drop out before the midterms? prediction","will grahm platner drop out before the midterms? odds","will grahm platner drop out before the midterms? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-16T10:19:07.085Z","2026-06-16T10:08:12.235Z",0,[43,60,75],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":47,"tags":48,"probability":54,"createdAt":55,"updatedAt":56,"resolutionDate":57,"description":58,"summary":58,"volume1wk":59,"featured":24},"106520","Peru Presidential Election Winner","peru-presidential-election-winner","Politics",[47,49,50,13,51,52,53],"Global Elections","World Elections","Peru","Peru Election","Main Election",0.15,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.740Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.642Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ",16525619.599477056,{"id":61,"title":62,"slug":63,"category":10,"subcategory":50,"tags":64,"probability":69,"createdAt":70,"updatedAt":71,"resolutionDate":72,"description":73,"summary":73,"volume1wk":74,"featured":24},"30829","Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028",[50,49,13,47,65,66,67,68],"US Election","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.593Z","2026-06-16T10:06:50.972Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9084772.468148999,{"id":76,"title":77,"slug":78,"category":10,"subcategory":50,"tags":79,"probability":81,"createdAt":82,"updatedAt":83,"resolutionDate":72,"description":84,"summary":84,"volume1wk":85,"featured":24},"31552","Presidential Election Winner 2028","presidential-election-winner-2028",[50,49,65,13,47,66,80,68,53],"President",0.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.733Z","2026-06-16T10:05:49.318Z","The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.",6422552.3238429995,1781606326875]