[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":84},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-will-any-presidential-candidate-win-outright-in-the-first-round-of-the-colombias-election":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"34590","will-any-presidential-candidate-win-outright-in-the-first-round-of-the-colombias-election","Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).","Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election? is a prediction market on whether Colombia’s next president will be elected without a runoff. The market tracks the first round of the Colombian presidential election scheduled for May 31, 2026, and resolves to Yes only if a candidate wins more than 50% of the valid votes. If no one clears that threshold, a second round is expected on June 21, 2026, and the market will resolve No. The forecast matters because Colombia’s electoral system often requires a runoff, so an outright first-round victory would signal unusually strong support for one candidate and a clear market shift in political sentiment. Current market probability is about 11.5%, suggesting traders see a first-round win as relatively unlikely. The event prediction will be resolved using credible reporting, with official confirmation from Colombia’s National Civil Registry if needed. If the result is not known by December 31, 2026, the market also resolves No.","ELECTIONS","Global Elections",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"World","Politics","Elections","Colombia Election","Colombia","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fcolombia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner-mZ_LYPs3S8OL.png",11.5,26495.200102,137519.23510599995,42736.9112,181880.954767,63050.75282279999,true,false,"2025-07-29T17:19:34.289Z","2026-05-31T14:00:00.000Z","2025-07-28T19:58:51.340Z","2026-05-30T10:35:19.386Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwill-any-presidential-candidate-win-outright-in-the-first-round-of-the-colombias-election?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the colombia's election?","will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the colombia's election? prediction","will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the colombia's election? odds","will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the colombia's election? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:12:15.973Z","2026-05-30T10:42:54.587Z",0,[44,58,72],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":48,"probability":52,"createdAt":53,"updatedAt":54,"resolutionDate":55,"description":56,"summary":56,"volume1wk":57,"featured":26},"411069","Daegu Mayoral Election Winner","daegu-mayoral-election-winner",[11,15,49,50,14,51],"Main Election","South Korea","South Korea Elections",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:52.210Z","2026-05-30T10:40:19.755Z","2026-06-03T00:00:00.000Z","The Daegu mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nInterim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.nec.go.kr\u002F).\n",199101.41762000002,{"id":59,"title":60,"slug":61,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":62,"probability":66,"createdAt":67,"updatedAt":68,"resolutionDate":69,"description":70,"summary":70,"volume1wk":71,"featured":26},"95248","Berlin State Election Winner","berlin-state-election-winner",[11,14,15,63,64,13,65,49],"Germany","World Elections","German Elections",23.4,"2026-05-30T10:43:13.857Z","2026-05-30T10:31:13.987Z","2026-09-20T00:00:00.000Z","Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https:\u002F\u002Fwww.berlin.de\u002Fwahlen\u002F)\n",20839.398677,{"id":73,"title":74,"slug":75,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":76,"probability":78,"createdAt":79,"updatedAt":80,"resolutionDate":81,"description":82,"summary":82,"volume1wk":83,"featured":26},"45925","Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?","which-candidates-will-advance-to-brazils-presidential-runoff",[11,13,77,14],"Brazil",3.45,"2026-05-30T10:43:14.661Z","2026-05-30T10:35:15.680Z","2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https:\u002F\u002Fdadosabertos.tse.jus.br\u002F).",19699.249727000002,1780676608506]