[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":94},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first":3},{"event":4,"related":47},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":22,"probability":23,"volume24hr":24,"volume1wk":25,"liquidity":26,"openInterest":27,"trendScore":28,"active":29,"closed":30,"featured":30,"startDate":31,"endDate":32,"createdAtRemote":33,"updatedAtRemote":34,"affiliateUrl":35,"polymarketUrl":35,"searchKeywords":36,"syncedAt":44,"createdAt":45,"marketCount":46},"193867","will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first","Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?","This market will resolve to \"Anthropic\" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"OpenAI\" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. \n\nThis market will resolve 50-50 if:\n- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;\n- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or\n- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? is a finance prediction market tracking which of the two leading AI companies will complete an initial public offering before the other. The event asks traders to forecast whether Anthropic or OpenAI will list first on a recognized stock exchange, with resolution based on official company announcements and credible news coverage. The market also defines a 50-50 outcome if neither company goes public by December 31, 2027, if both IPO on the same calendar date, or if both become unable to complete an IPO through acquisition, merger, or absorption by a public company. As of the latest data, market probability is around 63.5% for one side of the forecast, indicating sentiment is leaning toward a particular expected outcome, though the result remains uncertain. The prediction market is relevant to anyone following AI business strategy, OpenAI, Anthropic, Sam Altman, and the broader IPO landscape. With the deadline set for late 2027, this event prediction reflects how traders are pricing the timing and likelihood of two major AI firms entering public markets.","FINANCE","OpenAI",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21],"Claude 5","sam altman","AI","IPOs","IPO","Business","Finance","OpenAI IPO","Anthropic IPO","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fg-7b367ede47.png",63.5,6013.085496000001,34577.313482,6871.5467,61055.937789,14754.046132599999,true,false,"2026-01-30T22:47:23.589Z","2027-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-01-30T21:34:45.674Z","2026-06-16T10:04:57.055Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwill-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first?r=predstack",[37,38,39,40,41,42,43],"will anthropic or openai ipo first?","will anthropic or openai ipo first? prediction","will anthropic or openai ipo first? odds","will anthropic or openai ipo first? probability","finance prediction market","financial forecast","market odds","2026-06-16T10:20:16.330Z","2026-06-16T10:08:14.131Z",0,[48,60,78],{"id":49,"title":50,"slug":51,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":52,"probability":55,"createdAt":56,"updatedAt":57,"resolutionDate":32,"description":58,"summary":58,"volume1wk":59,"featured":30},"507193","Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?","lead-bank-in-openais-ipo",[11,53,18,54,14,16,20],"Tech","Big Tech",8,"2026-05-30T10:43:21.495Z","2026-05-30T10:36:12.227Z","This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nIf multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",13421.404908,{"id":61,"title":62,"slug":63,"category":10,"subcategory":64,"tags":65,"probability":72,"createdAt":73,"updatedAt":74,"resolutionDate":75,"description":76,"summary":76,"volume1wk":77,"featured":29},"101772","Fed Decision in June?","fed-decision-in-june-825","Economic Policy",[64,66,67,68,69,70,71],"Jerome Powell","Fed Rates","Fed","Politics","Economy","fomc",0.45,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.783Z","2026-06-16T10:06:42.413Z","2026-06-17T00:00:00.000Z","The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut\u002Fincrease of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.\n",43753405.28664605,{"id":79,"title":80,"slug":81,"category":10,"subcategory":19,"tags":82,"probability":46,"createdAt":90,"updatedAt":91,"resolutionDate":92,"description":80,"summary":80,"volume1wk":93,"featured":29},"415443","What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026",[19,83,84,85,86,87,88,89],"Monthly","Hit Price","Hide From New","Finance Updown","Pyth Finance","Commodities","Oil","2026-05-30T10:42:43.693Z","2026-05-30T10:38:59.671Z","2026-05-31T17:00:00.000Z",12887084.736748997,1781606257196]