[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":86},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-will-alberta-vote-for-independence-in-2026":3},{"event":4,"related":41},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":16,"probability":17,"volume24hr":18,"volume1wk":19,"liquidity":20,"openInterest":21,"trendScore":22,"active":23,"closed":24,"featured":24,"startDate":25,"endDate":26,"createdAtRemote":27,"updatedAtRemote":28,"affiliateUrl":29,"polymarketUrl":29,"searchKeywords":30,"syncedAt":38,"createdAt":39,"marketCount":40},"194008","will-alberta-vote-for-independence-in-2026","Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? is an election prediction market focused on whether a referendum on Alberta’s independence from Canada will be passed by December 31, 2026. The market resolves to “Yes” if Alberta voters approve a referendum that establishes a desire for independence, creates a framework for separation, or directly establishes independence from Canada. It will resolve using official information from the Government of Alberta, with credible reporting as a fallback source. As of the latest update, traders assign the event about a 15.75% probability, indicating market sentiment still leans toward a “No” outcome. The forecast matters because it tracks a major constitutional and political question in Canada, with implications for Alberta, federal-provincial relations, and broader World politics. The prediction market opened on January 30, 2026 and runs through the end of 2026, giving traders time to react to developments in Alberta politics, referendum proposals, and official announcements. For readers following election odds and event prediction markets, this listing reflects current expectations rather than a guarantee of the eventual result.","ELECTIONS","World",[11,13,14,15],"Canada","Trump","Politics","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-alberta-vote-for-independence-in-2025-bKiHI7Wj8xyo.jpg",15.75,1419.758811,11540.679286,35327.08347,75479.531211,11237.4998853,true,false,"2026-01-30T23:32:16.107Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-01-30T23:10:15.855Z","2026-05-30T10:40:25.891Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwill-alberta-vote-for-independence-in-2026?r=predstack",[31,32,33,34,35,36,37],"will alberta vote for independence in 2026?","will alberta vote for independence in 2026? prediction","will alberta vote for independence in 2026? odds","will alberta vote for independence in 2026? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:43:25.064Z","2026-05-30T10:43:24.025Z",0,[42,57,72],{"id":43,"title":44,"slug":45,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":46,"probability":51,"createdAt":52,"updatedAt":53,"resolutionDate":54,"description":55,"summary":55,"volume1wk":56,"featured":24},"34582"," Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?","colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner",[11,47,48,15,49,50],"Elections","Global Elections","Colombia Election","Colombia",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.454Z","2026-05-30T10:31:15.449Z","2026-05-31T16:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.\n\nIf the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",1259697.8105839998,{"id":58,"title":59,"slug":60,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":61,"probability":66,"createdAt":67,"updatedAt":68,"resolutionDate":69,"description":70,"summary":70,"volume1wk":71,"featured":24},"108639","Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?","putin-out-as-president-of-russia-by-june-30",[11,62,63,64,15,65],"Russia","Ukraine","putin","Geopolitics",1.55,"2026-05-30T10:42:50.407Z","2026-05-30T10:32:49.618Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",302961.7584209999,{"id":73,"title":74,"slug":75,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":76,"probability":80,"createdAt":81,"updatedAt":82,"resolutionDate":83,"description":84,"summary":84,"volume1wk":85,"featured":24},"106049","Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner","armenia-parliamentary-election-winner",[11,77,15,48,47,78,79],"Armenia","World Elections","Main Election",89,"2026-05-30T10:42:59.844Z","2026-05-30T10:30:46.100Z","2026-06-07T00:00:00.000Z","Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.elections.am\u002F).",66273.7367,1780676588964]